Starting from a base of more than US$3.8 billion in revenue in 2007, worldwide RFID markets are expected to reach US$8.4 billion in 2012, according to a new study from ABI Research.  The 2007 figure represents a 24% growth over 2006, and the curve to 2012 indicates a compound annual growth rate of 21%.  “Given the recent amount of activity and anticipation surrounding RFID technology, one might be tempted to believe the RFID market has been experiencing explosive growth,” says research director Michael Liard.  “But while uptake of full-scale RFID systems remains slower than many in the industry had hoped, steady growth continues.  There is an overall sense of cautious optimism in the market.”  While few large RFID implementations have been announced, extensive pilot programs and closed-loop deployments are demonstrating the value propositions and cost justification for RFID.  For example, asset tracking in health care; WIP tracking in manufacturing; and returnable transport items such as pallets and containers provide a significant return-on-investment and the opportunity to amortize the cost of transponders over several years.  What is hot?  “Asset tracking and RTLS applications continue to gain traction across vertical markets,” says Liard.  “From pilots to small implementations to full deployments, activity has been brisk for passive and active solutions.  The fashion apparel and footwear item-tagging market is also undergoing heavy pilot and trial activity, especially within Europe via programs at Marks and Spencer and Metro.  Government ID documents are another strong volume segment, particularly for e-passports and national ID cards (China).”

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